نوع مقاله : پژوهشی
1 دانشیار گروه مهندسی صنایع دانشگاه جامع امام حسین(ع)
2 دانشآموخته کارشناسی ارشد مهندسی صنایع دانشگاه جامع امام حسین(ع)
عنوان مقاله [English]
One of the requirements regarding promotion of the position of foresight and future-making at the strategic levels of the country's armed forces and improvement of the quality of intelligence aristocracy on developments in the military, defense and security fields is identifying conditions, requirements and priority strategic variables in that field. The main objective of this study is "introducing and prioritizing the key strategic variables of monitoring environmental developments in the military, defense and security fields in the Armed Forces" with a case study of one of the armed forces organizations. It is a descriptive-applied survey research in terms of its aim and data collection. In order to collect data, library study instruments and questionnaire distribution among 48 experts from one of the armed forces organizations were used. The validity of this questionnaire was obtained with the approval of experts and to determine the reliability of the questionnaire, the criterion of inconsistency rate was used, which was calculated 0.014 through SuperDesign software, which is based on the logic of the network analysis method, Statistical research shows high stability in assessing the subject. The results of the research show that the strategic variables in order of importance are as: 1. Sustainable security based on the detection, employment and development of the country's capabilities in the military, defense and security sectors, 2. Military, defense and security authority of the armed forces and its deterrence capability against the enemies, 3. Space, air, land, sea, cyber and passive defense capabilities of the country, countries in the region, enemies and countries of strategic importance, 4. Perspectives, guidelines, goals, strategies and military, defense and security strategies of the country, of the countries in the region, of the enemies and countries of strategic importance, 5. Macro-organizational architecture of the country's armed forces (mission areas, roles, products, structure and organization, etc.), 6. Personality, ideological, military, political and security characteristics of commanders and Senior Managers of the Armed Forces of the country, and 7. Causes, contexts, methods, instruments, characteristics and consequences of future wars in the region and the world.