نوع مقاله : پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استادیار دانشگاه و پژوهشگاه عالی دفاع ملی و تحقیقات راهبردی و دکترای امنیت ملی
2 دکترای مدیریت دفاعی و تحلیلگر محیط بینالملل
3 دکترای مدیریت رسانه و تحلیلگر مسائل راهبردی
4 دانشجوی دکترای مدیریت و برنامهریزی فرهنگی دانشگاه آزاد واحد تهران شمال
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The aim of this research is to identify and evaluate future threats (prospects) outside the scope of AJA missions. This research seeks to answer the question that the most important threats to the Islamic Republic of Iran. Dealing with which is not in the mission area of AJA, but they may involve AJA, what are they on the horizon of 1404? In this research, descriptive statistics and systematic analysis method have been employed to analyze and validate the collected data. The research method is an applied descriptive one and the theoretical foundations and factors affecting the threats are explained using library resources and the field method by holding expert meetings and interviews with experts and using questionnaires. The statistical population of the study included 60 military experts and specialists of the Armed Forces and security research, scientific and academic centers with at least 25 years of service, 45 years of age, and an MA degree. The results show that cyber threats, ethnic segregation threats, drug trafficking threats and environmental threats are the most important ones that AJA will face in the future outside of its obvious undertakings.
کلیدواژهها [English]